Developed countries falling short of carbon emissions goals

A recent study by the Council for Energy, Environment, and Water (CEEW) revealed some concerning conclusions about industrialized countries' carbon emissions trajectory. These nations, which account for the lion's share of global carbon emissions, are expected to significantly exceed their 2030 emissions reduction targets. According to the analysis, the United States, Russia, and the European Union are on track to contribute an astounding 83% of this emissions overshoot.

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What's more worrying is that industrialised countries' carbon reduction obligations, known as Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), already fall short of what's required to limit global warming to a safe 1.5°C increase. Instead of achieving the required 43% reduction below 2019 levels by 2030, these countries are currently on course for an 11% reduction based on current emissions patterns.


According to the study, most industrialised countries appear to be deferring large emissions cutbacks until beyond 2030 as part of their objective of achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. However, their past performance suggests that those ambitious targets might not be accomplished.


This viewpoint is concerning because it suggests the burden of mitigating global warming is increasingly falling on developing countries, despite pledges of financial assistance from wealthy countries to aid in this transition. In the international talks on climate change, there is disagreement about how quickly developed countries should stop using fossil fuels and how much they should help poor countries.