Clear air turbulence (CAT) events over north Indian airspace are predicted to more than quadruple after 2050 as a result of climate change, according to research done by experts at the UK's University of Reading. CAT is the sort of turbulence that is least predictable because it only occurs at very high altitudes in clear or cloudless air.
The projected increases are most pronounced in the northern half of India and are especially pronounced during the pre-monsoon season, which lasts from March to May, according to one of the experts, Prof. Paul Williams, who spoke with the Times of India (TOI). Prof. Williams forecasts a 100–200% increase in clear air turbulence from 2050 to 2080 compared to the present.
At the moment, aircraft radar can detect thunderstorm clouds, which are a significant contributor to turbulence in India. Climate change is predicted to cause clear air turbulence (CAT) events over north Indian airspace to more than quadruple after 2050, according to research done by experts at the UK's University of Reading.
Future Climate Change Impacts
Since it only occurs at extremely high altitudes in clean or cloudless air, CAT is the least anticipated sort of turbulence. According to one of the experts, Prof. Paul Williams, the projected increases are most noticeable in the northern half of India and are especially noticeable during the pre-monsoon season, which lasts from March to May.
According to Prof. Williams, professor of atmospheric science in the department of meteorology at Reading University highlighted that clean air turbulence will be 100–200% greater than it is now by the years 2050–2080. Researchers used climate model simulations to look into how future climate change impacts would affect the global CAT by 2050–2080.
He further added that clear air turbulence over India will significantly rise within the next few decades. reported by TOI. The fact that CAT is undetectable to radar and satellite as well as to pilots from the cockpit makes it the most dangerous type of turbulence for aircraft, he said.