Global Ocean Temperatures Spike and Worry Scientists about Future Warming

The sudden spike in ocean temperatures that has occurred over the last few weeks has caused concern among scientists, who are trying to understand the implications of this warming and whether it is a harbinger of further warming of the atmosphere.

(The new york times)

This recent rise in sea surface temperatures is the result of several factors, including a brewing El Nino warming condition, a rebound from the cooling effects of a La Nina, and steady global warming that has been heating deeper water beneath the surface. Some experts believe that this could be just the beginning of a series of record-breaking heat events. From early March until now, the average ocean sea surface temperature has risen almost two-tenths of a degree Celsius. This may seem like a small increase, but considering that the oceans cover 71% of the Earth's surface, this is a significant jump. University of Colorado climate scientist Kris Karnauskas called it "an incredible departure from what was already a warm state to begin with."


Experts have been discussing the warming trend on social media and among themselves. Some scientists, such as University of Pennsylvania's Michael Mann, believe that this is just a natural warming event caused by El Nino on top of a steady human-caused warming increase. The warming has been especially pronounced off the coast of Peru and Ecuador, where most El Ninos began before the 1980s. El Nino is a natural warming of parts of the equatorial Pacific that alters the weather worldwide and increases global temperatures. Prior to last month, the world was experiencing a cooling phase known as La Nina, which had been exceptionally strong and prolonged, lasting three years and causing extreme weather. However, other scientists believe that this recent warming trend is not solely the result of El Nino. There are various marine heatwaves or ocean warming hotspots that don't fit the El Nino pattern, such as those near Alaska and off the coast of Spain, according to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration oceanographer Gregory C. Johnson. Princeton University climate scientist Gabe Vecchi said that the recent pattern of ocean warming is "an unusual pattern" that is "an extreme event at a global scale" in areas that don't correspond to El Nino.

Karnauskas took global sea surface temperature anomalies over the past several weeks and compared them to the average temperature anomalies from earlier this year to determine where the recent surge in warming is most prominent. He discovered that a long stretch extending from South America to Africa, including both the Pacific and Indian oceans, was responsible for much of the global temperature increase. The sudden spike in ocean temperatures could have a variety of consequences, including the death of coral reefs, the migration of marine species to cooler waters, and the alteration of weather patterns worldwide. It could also exacerbate sea-level rise, which is already a growing concern. Warmer waters could cause glaciers and ice caps to melt more quickly, resulting in more frequent and severe floods in coastal regions.

It is important to understand the causes and effects of this sudden warming of the oceans to address the problem properly. The scientific community must work together to gather more data and determine the best course of action to mitigate the effects of climate change. Governments must take steps to reduce carbon emissions and other pollutants that contribute to global warming and support research into alternative energy sources. Only by working together can we hope to slow down the rate of climate change and preserve the health of our planet.